Tuesday, April 03, 2007

Spring Practice News & Notes

I finally got a few minutes to myself today, and got to listen to Coach Weis' press conferences from spring practice. Based upon his observations and comments, here's how I feel about our team at this point.

First and foremost, our running backs are scary good. James Aldridge is a bruising back with a second gear. Armando Allen doesn't look like a freshman. Junior Jabbie is impressive. And that's just the young'uns. Travis Thomas is moving back to running back full time, and is penciled in as the starter, but the depth here is very very very good.

Weis knows better than to give any hints about the quarterback battle. Each of the four scholarship QBs get one week at #1, and Coach Weis will whittle it down to 2 after spring practice is over. Even cleverly crafted questions are being deflected, and Weis is as tight lipped about this as anything.

Only the captains are safe. Carlson is our tight end. Zibby is our safety and punt returner. Sully is our center. Laws is a starting defensive end. Mo Crum is a starting ILB. Everything else is up for discussion. Everything.

Burkhart is still struggling to develop any confidence in the mind of the coaches, being passed for now on the depth chart by a walk-on kicker, NAte Whitaker. Unsurprisingly, Geoff Price will continue to handle the punting duties.

Wide receiver isn't looking so good. Grimes' experience places him in the lead. West has looked good so far. Everyone else is in "the pack." My dark horse favorite, D.J. Hord, has looked rusty. It's still to early to tell with him until someone knocks the rust off. Literally.

Our defensive line, after Laws, needs some time to develop. Stewart is still early in the learning process, and nobody else seems to stand apart.

Inside linebacker competition isn't as close as I'd hoped. We have solid starters (Crum, Brockington) and then the guys fighting for second. The reports of Toryan Smith's ascension may have ben exaggerated.

Outside linebacker is a mess. Vernaglia looks good, but the rest is unclear.

The secondary is very good and very deep, but after Zibby, we are still looking for people to grab onto the other starting positions.

Offensive line is shaping up fairly solidly. Weis claims that the starting lineup isn't set yet, but it looks to me from his comments that our lineup (from right tackle to left tackle) will be:
Young Wenger Sullivan Olsen Turkovitch

Allen and West are both competing at kick returner, but Zibby is far and away the best punt returner. And Zibby likes it that way.

Most importantly, these kids look like they are having fun.

Monday, April 02, 2007

Spring Positional Battles: The Front Seven

Because this is a discussion of spring ball, I've included the names of incoming freshman without any discussion of their potential contributions. Therefore, the talented incoming players could throw a wrench into the works here.
I'm excited about the front seven this year, though. The switch to the 3-4 has given us a lot of depth at all of the positions, whereas under the 4-3 we would have been loaded at defensive end, but short on both DTs and LBs.

Nosetackle
In the 3-4 the most important characteristics of the nose tackle are size and strength. In order for the system to function smoothly, the nosetackle's job is to take up space and blockers on the inside of the line, allowing the players around him to fly to the ball and make tackles.
PROSPECTS:
Chris Stewart Sophomore 6'5" 340 lbs.
Scout 4-star (OL), Rivals 4-star (OL)
One of last year's most highly touted O-Line prospects, Stewart is literally a man-beast. He came to campus at 6'5" and somewhere between 360 and 375 lbs. He's lost a lot of weight in Ruben Mendoza's strength and conditioning program, but he has size and strength in spades. Right now he's listed at 340 lbs, and some people have placed him as low as 320. With all of the young depth available on the O-line, moving Stewart to nose is a no-brainer. As a matter of fact, I told several of my friends when Corwin Brown was hired that I thought they should move Stewart to nose tackle. If he works out as well as he is capable, he is exactly the type of anchor we need for this defense to work.
This is good, because the drop off in size from Stewart to the next D-lineman is significant. Next in line is projected starter at DT, Trevor Laws, who comes in at 295 lbs. Therefore, any of the depth at the DT position below could be moved here, but for now, this is Stewart's job to lose.
Pat Kuntz Junior 6'2" 272 lbs.
Scout 3-star (DT), Rivals 3-star (DE)
Kuntz has the physical skills from all reports, but some people have wondered about his motor. He is apparently a really nice kid, and there is some question whether he can develop the nastiness and aggressieness needed for this system. If there were a game today, Kuntz would start at nosetackle ahead of Stewart. However, I expect by the end of spring (or at latest this summer) to have him penciled in as a starter at the DE position, as he is considerably smaller than Stewart at 6'2" 272 lbs. He might back up Stewart at the nose, in addition to starting at end.
Derrel Hand Junior 6'3" 287 lbs.
Scout 3-star (DT), Rivals 3-star (DT)
Hand could challenge Kunz for one of the DE positions, but because he has more size, I'd like to see him move in to NT to back up Stewart instead of Kunz. However, with our depth at end, both Kunz and Hand could stay inside, pushing Stewart, leaving the defensive end battle to the players listed below.
Ian Williams Freshman 6'2" 294 lbs.

Defensive End
This position in the 3-4 refers to the other two down linemen in the base system. They need to be able to play actually three positions. Their primary job is that of a traditional defensive tackle - take on linemen, shed them and stuff the run. On passing downs with no blitz, they may become defensive ends. Also, in some blitz packages, they need enough mobility to drop into underneath coverage.
There will probably be a considerable amount of rotation at this position to take advantage of the depth we have. Under the 4-3, we would have very little depth on the line, as the
PROSPECTS:
Trevor Laws 5th year Senior 6'1" 295 lbs.
Scout 4-star (DT), Rivals 4-star (DT)
A returning starter from last year's squad, Laws is a solid starter at the defensive end. Listed at 6'1", he's a little short. Under the 3-4, his height could be a problem in some zone bliz schemes - he just can't hope to cover a 6'5" tight end or receiver on a crossing route. However, I expect the blitz packages to largely revolve around the other DE, allowing Laws to be almost a NT/DT hybrid instead of a DT/DE hybrid, helping Stewart plug up the middle.
Paddy Mullen Sophomore 6'5" 285 lbs.
Scout 3-star (TE), Rivals 3-star (TE)
Listed as a tight end coing out of high school, Paddy Mullen has been moved to defensive line due to the sick level of depth at tight end. He has good size, and his tight end background means he will excel at dropping into pass coverage in zone blitzes. Mullen has great speed and a good motor for a kid his size, and could push for playing time sooner rather than later, depending on whether he can pick up the defensive mentality. In fact, if Mullen continues to grow, he could move inside and become one of the most athletic noseguards I've ever seen.
Dwight Stephenson, Jr. 5th year senior 6'2" 257 lbs.
Scout 3-star (DE), Rivals 3-star (LB)
A fifth year senior, Stephenson came back to the team for a reason, and that is because he expects to start or at least play a significant amount of time. As a veteran, he has the most experience and development of any non-starter, but the new system levels the playing field between veterans and younger players somewhat. I expect him and Mullen to battle for the starting end position opposite Laws if Kunz stays inside. However, despite Stephenson's experience, I expect Mullen's athleticism to push him ahead on the depth chart
Kallen Wade Sophomore 6'5" 240 lbs.
Scout 4-star (DE), Rivals 3-star (DE)
One of the defensive jewels of Weis' first full class, Wade hasn't yet broken into the starting lineup. However, he is an excellent athlete, and his presence goes a long way to improving the overall depth and athleticism of this unit. He'll play a lot on special teams, and will wait patiently in the wings for his turn to shine.
John Ryan Sophomore 6'5" 244 lbs.
Scout 3-star (DE), Rivals 3-star (DE)
Ryan wasn't the best defensive end prospect in his class, and has several more highly touted players sitting ahead of him on the depth chart. I haven't heard much about his development, and am unsure whether he'll ever see the field on defense. He will be a productive special teams player, though.
Justin Brown Senior 6'3" 255 lbs.
Scout 2-star (DE), Rivals 2-star (DE)
One of the last remaining players from Willingham's incredible shrinking class, Brown is a big underdog in terms of athleticism, being only a 2-star recruit. However, the mere fact that he is still on the team at this point shows that he has heart and dedication, which I'll take over athleticism any day of the week. He may not start, but at this point he has earned the right to contribute.

Outside Linebacker
If nosetackle is the cornerstone of the 3-4 defense, the outside linebacker is the mortar. They are asked to do a lot more than a traditional 4-3 OLB. These guys are generally DE/LB 'tweeners, although depending on the interior personnel you could go almost into a safety/LB hybrid as well.
PROSPECTS:
Anthony Vernaglia Senior 6'3" 233 lbs.
Scout 4-star (LB), Rivals 4-star (ATH)
The crown jewel of Willingham's Incredible Shrinking Class, Anthony Vernaglia (much like the rest of his recruiting class) has underperformed to date. Although Darius Walker, Maurice Crum, and Terrail Lambert all have started considerably more than Anthony, none of them were as highly touted out of high school. Last year, after struggling through all of the changes in the program, Vernaglia was finally pushing for playing time when he injured his knee. Now fully healed, this is chance to redeem himself. Corwin Brown actually recruited Vernaglia when he was at Virginia, and has had nothing but praise for him this spring. Vernaglia should start at outside linebacker, and could be the breakthrough athlete on the team this year.
His overall athleticism (he was listed as an athlete by Rivals) should make him a superb 3-4 OLB, where he would have struggled anywhere in a 4-3.
Morrice Richardson Sophomore 6'2" 235 lbs.
Scout 3-star (LB), Rivals 3-star (DE)
The mere fact that one of the major recruiting services placed Richardson at defensive end and the other placed him at linebacker tells me that he is the prototypical 3-4 outside linebacker. Equally capable of rushing the passer as dropping into coverage, his relatively untouted skills at either of the traditional positions makes him a standout at the 3-4 OLB.
Scott Smith Junior 6'3" 244 lbs.
Scout 3-star (LB), Rivals 2-star (LB)
Steve Quinn Junior 6'2" 231 lbs.
Scout 3-star (LB), Rivals 3-star (LB)
Part of Weis' abbreviated first class, Quinn and Smith weren't very highly touted out of high school. Neither has really showed themselves to be a standout at this point, but there was a reason that Weis gave them scholarships. Weis was very selective with his scholarship offers in that shortened year, preferring to hold on to scholarships for his first full class rather than simply bringing in bodies. I don't have a sense yet for how either will contribute, but I'm hesitant to count them out.
Steve Paskorz Freshman 6'1" 215 lbs.
Aaron Nagel Freshman 6'1" 215 lbs.
Kerry Neal Freshman 6'3" 234 lbs.
Harrison Smith Freshman 6'2" 205 lbs. [more likely at safety, but could grow]

Inside Linebacker
The 4-3 requires their inside linebackers to be big and strong, and not necessarily quick. However, under the 3-4, there are two inside linebackers, and they aren't primarily responsible for the A gap on every play, as the nose tackle takes on that task. This allows the inside linebackers to be more like the outside linebackers in a 4-3, quick to the ball and sure tacklers.
Maurice Crum, Jr. Senior 6' 225 lbs.
Scout 3-star (LB), Rivals 3-star (LB)
The returning starter from last year's team, I complained quite a bit about Crum being stuck inside in the 4-3 scheme. Under the 3-4, though, it doesn't bother me. He built up enough strength playing inside last year, but he can also use his speed more from the ILB in a 3-4, especially on zone blitzes. The more I think about Crum in this position, the more excited I get.
Joe Brockington Fifth year Senior 6'1" 235 lbs.
Scout 3-star (LB), Rivals 3-star (LB)
Brockington started to impress the coaches towards the end of last year, and continues to develop well going into the spring. Brockington has quietly played his role for the last few years, as the Irish churned out quality linebackers ahead of him. Crum passed him on the depth chart, but he continued to work hard and try to improve. Now, he is in position where the position is his for the taking. I expect him to be penciled in as the second starter coming out of the spring, but he will be pushed hard by Toryan Smith. I know he doesn't want to get passed again, and Toryan Smith's presence should push him to be the most improved player on the team this year.
Toryan Smith Sophomore 6' 244 lbs.
Scout 3-star (LB), Rivals 3-star (LB)
Although only a three star recruit, the buzz and expectations about this kid sound more like a 4 or 5 star recruit. Everyone is talking about him pushing for playing time and impressing the coaches. I think he'll play a significant amount of time this year, but won't start. He'll allow the other inside linebackers to get breaks and stay fresh throughout the game. This position could be one of those areas where Weis names three people for two starting positions rather than two clear starters and a backup.
Kevin Washington Junior 6'1" 240 lbs.
Scout 3-star (LB), Rivals 3-star (LB)
Washington was equally as touted as T. Smith coming out of high school, but for some reason has not generated a lot of buzz. He could push into the rotation at linebacker, but I haven't heard his name mentioned by any of the coaches in a while.
Brian Smith Freshman 6'2" 230 lbs.

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Spring Practice: 3-4 Primer

As we go into spring practice (and before I set forth the battles raging in the front 7 on defense) I thought I'd start with a basic primer on the 3-4 defense.

Keep in mind, that this little overview is going to be relatively basic, as I am no football coach. However, I think it will be helpful to explain the basic concepts of the 3-4 defense so that my less football-savvy readers can understand the concepts of positional flexibility and zone blitzing.

Base defense

The basic defense, at first glance, appears simple:


Picture taken from Football.com

There are three down linemen - a nosetackle (also called noseguard), and two defensive tackles/ends. Also, there are four linebackers - two inside linebackers, and two outside linebackers.

However, the base defense is only the beginning. For every position but the nosetackle, there is a certain amount of positional flexibility required. That is, the players must be able to, on any given snap, play one of two (or even three) positions.

The nosetackle's job is to occupy two blockers and penetrate into the backfield. Noseguards are big and strong, usually bigger and stronger than the center they are matched up on. This size and strength advantage means that one of the offensive guards will have to help.

The defensive tackle/end is a hybrid position. In the base defense, the DT's job is that of a standard defensive end - off tackle run support, pass rushing, and outside contain. However, in many plays, one or both of the outside linebackers will drop down to act as a defensive end, and the DT is supposed to either become a traditional defensive tackle with run stopping responsibility, or in zone blitzes, drop into coverage (see zone blitzes below).

The outside linebackers, then, are another hybrid position. In the base defense, they have read-and-react responsibility for their zone. In a blitz, they can drop down into the defensive end position and become responsible for rushing the passer, outside contain, or both.

The inside linebackers are another hybrid. In the base defense, they have inside run support responsibility and zone protection against the underneath short passes like slants and crossing routes. However, the inside linebackers must also be big and strong enough to blitz the middle, taking on and shedding offensive linemen.

Zone blitzes

All of this positional flexibility in the front seven allows this defense to confuse the offense through the use of zone blitzes. Zone blitzes permit the defensive coordinator to bring pressure from anywhere, everywhere, or nowhere on any given play. For example, in a passing situation, all four linebackers could drop into zone coverage, and the three down linemen could rush the passer. Easy enough to react to and block by the QB and O-line respectively. However, the same could be achieved by rushing both outside linebackers and dropping the DTs into short coverage. Now, the O-linemen who thought they were blocking the DTs are out of position to pick up the outside linebackers. Result? sack.

On the other end of the spectrum, a full blitz could be brought, just like under the 4-3, 5-2, etc.

Where the zone blitz package becomes really effective is in between the two extremes. For example, the left inside and outside linebackers could blitz, and the DT drop back into zone coverage, leaving the O-linemen confused as to who to block. Or for an added wrinkle, the two linebackers AND the DT could blitz, with the other inside linebacker rolling over into short coverage on that side, and the opposite DT dropping into zone. Now, there are four rushers against 3 blockers on that side, forcing the O-line or running backs to shift on the fly and pick up the extra blitzer.

Summary

The 3-4 defense permits a team with athletic players to take advantage of their athleticism, rather than relying on strength. In a 4-3, the D-line is supposed to take on blockers and go after the ball carrier in the backfield, and the linebackers are responsible for run support and short zone/man coverage. The 4-3 matches up athlete for athlete, whereas the 3-4 creates mismatches.

The drawback of the 3-4 is that you could theoretically have a defensive tackle trying to cover a receiver on a crossing route - mismatches can go both ways. It relies on creating disruption and throwing off timing to be successful.

Which defense is better for any given team depends on the personnel. If you have a team full of prototypical players at their position, the 4-3 is better. However, if you have a bunch of players that would be 'tweeners - equally capable of playing two positions, but not prototypical in either - the 3-4 is better.

Notre Dame's personnel this year is particularly suited to the 3-4. Tomorrow's post will explain how I expect this all to shake out.

Saturday, March 24, 2007

Spring Positional Battles: The First Casualties

In only his second practice at Notre Dame, highly touted freshman cornerback Gary Gray broke his right arm, and will be held out of the remainder of spring practice while he heals.

In related news, Munir Prince has been moved out of the logjam at running back (where I predicted he would languish) and into the mix at corner. I like this move for a couple of reasons. First, we need all the speed we can get in the secondary, and this adds depth to the corners, where we needed it. (the safeties have depth, corners not as much) More importantly, however, as a converted running back, he has developed some toughness that many corners lack.

Many corners use only their speed to defend against the pass, but a truly elite corner can not only hang with the receiver, but then bring the wood when he does catch the ball. Having played at a position where you get hit on every down for a year, Prince should add a level of physicality to the corners that will help bring Coach Weis' NASTY into the mix.

The Gary Gray injury is unfortunate, as he has a lot of potential. However, of all of the possible injury situations this team could have been facing, this is one of the less painful losses. First, it's only a broken arm, and will heal completely in 4-6 weeks, allowing Gray to suit up and be 100% for summer ball. Second, as a freshman corner, it might help his learning curve to watch and listen during spring practice. He'll still be ahead of the curve mentally going into summer practice when the other freshmen come in. Like all injuries, it does have some serious drawbacks as well. He won't be able to participate in the lifting sessions fully, and if there is one thing Gray needs, it is some muscle to go with all that speed. Also, corners (followed closely by O-line and safeties) need to have great footwork. Now, he will not be participating in footwork drills.

These changes to the cornerback position will not have a significant impact on the starters, though. I had been predicting that Gary Gray might be redshirted, and now that seems more likely than ever. Prince will probably challenge McNeil for the dime back slot, especially considering that he would be an asset against mobile QBs when the offense spreads the field.

I'll try to keep on top of all the news and rumors coming out of spring practice. Stay tuned.

Tuesday, March 20, 2007

Spring Positional Battles - Defensive Skill Positions

The Irish secondary has been much-maligned the last few years, a well deserved criticism in light of the pass-heavy obliterations in big games the Irish have suffered over the last five years. Florida State 2003. Purdue 2004. Pittsburgh 2004. Michigan State 2005. Ohio State 2006. Michigan 2006. LSU 2007. USC every year.

That litany of big losses stings for any Irish fan like myself. And they all have one thing in common - a porous pass defense. The promise of improvement under Rick Minter never materialized, and now the Irish are looking to a bright, young, energetic leader to lead this talented group of players and mould them into a stingy secondary.

I like the potential for this group. While many of the pundits have attacked ND's "team speed," recruiting has already adressed this need in the secondary. Which is why Minter's ouster became necessary - I watched our players chase down receivers from behind far too many times to believe that we weren't fast enough. We were simply out of position.

I also like the combination of youth and experience here. Tommy Z will be back for his 5th year, and his experience and attitude should permeate this unit - straight nasty. He has some experience behind him, and a slew of young talent to mentor. If Corwin Brown is as good a teacher as they say he is, I honestly believe that pass defense will become one of our strengths this year.

Cornerback
Last year's starters: Ambrose Wooden, Mike Richardson
Richardson and Wooden were both very good corners last year, but they were often left alone on an island. Richardson is gone to graduation, but Wooden's experience (he's entering his fifth year) will be back to anchor this unit.
The question for me on Spring and Summer is whether Wooden can hang with the young speedy talent on the team that is pushing for playing time. He was a four-star recruit coming in, but the recruiting services couldn't agree on whether he was a corner or safety.
PROSPECTS:
Terrail Lambert Senior
Rivals - 4 star, Scout - 4 star
Part of the mysterious vanishing class of 2008, Lambert came in almost as highly touted as Wooden, listed as the 8th best corner on Scout. But he was listed as a safety on Rivals. Which meant we still didn't have a true corner. He has developed nicely, though, and last year showed a knack for finding the ball as our nickel back and #1 backup. He should start opposite Wooden, pending development by the youngsters below him.
Darrin Walls Sophomore
Rivals - 4 star, Scout - 4 star
The first true corner recruited by Notre Dame in recent memory, Walls was one of the best pure speed corners in the country coming in - ranked the third best corner by Rivals, and 7th best by Scout. He runs a 4.4 forty, and has all of the physical tools needed by a shutdown corner. He showed flashes of brillance in coverage this year, but also as a true freshman blew several coverages, sometimes leading to scores. If he continues to develop, and picks up this new system, he is my favorite to supplant on of the starters. More likely, though, he'll move into the nickel back slot, playing the same role that Lambert did last year.
Raeshon McNeil Sophomore
Rivals - 4 star, Scout - 4 star
Raeshon came in with Darrin Walls, and was almost as highly touted - he ranked 7th on Rivals and 9th on Scout among cornerbacks. He is similar in many ways to Darrin Walls - they are both 6' even, around 175 lbs. coming in. During summer practice last year, he appeared to be more physical in his coverage, whereas Darrin Walls relied more on speed and position. McNeil is only half a step behind Walls on the depth chart right now, and it's too early to call this one. I expect that McNeil will fill in at Walls' position last year - dime back and spot duty in coverage.
Gary Gray Freshman
Rivals - 4 star, Scout - 4 star
Basically a Walls/McNeil clone (although a little smaller...), Gray's commitment showed that Coach Weis is serious about recruiting cornerback talent, and that last year's duo was no fluke. He'll probably redshirt this season, considering the amount of depth we have right now. If you had told me three years ago that we'd be redshirting a top 10 cornerback recruit, I would never have believed it. This kid will be a great shutdown corner for us in a couple of years, but there's no rush to bring him in right away, unless he shows something in Spring Ball. Or unless we install a quarter defense.
Depth: Leo Ferrine, Senior; Ray Herring, Junior; Kyle McCarthy, Junior
My Prediction:
Wooden and Lambert hold down the starting positions, but are pushed by Walls and McNeil. I wouldn't be surprised for one or both of them to get passed on the depth chart, but I don't think Coach Weis will want to shatter the confidence of any of these kids. There is a nice, comfortable pecking order, and this year sets up nicely for the long-term development of the cornerback crew - recruit one or two great corners every year, and have them move up through the progression - dime back, nickel back, starting corner, shutdown corner. Shuffle as needed.

Safety
Last year's starters: Tom Zbikowski, Chinedum Ndukwe
Tom Zbikowski (Zibby) is a returning two-time All-American selection. So I don't want to hear the "Hold Me I'm Irish" crowd moan about his breakdowns in pass coverage or the naysayers that say he has "deceptive" speed.
This kid is a beast. He WILL be a consensus All-American this year (barring injury) and probably the winner of the Chuck Bednarik and Bronco Nagurski awards. His punt return and interception return skills will be on display, giving him an outside shot at a Heisman (see: Charles Woodson).
I'm sure many of you are scoffing and telling me I'm crazy (which you should totally post in the comments - I don't get nearly enough comments...), but I think this kid is the best college safety in recent memory.
I'm not saying that he is going to be the best pro prospect at the safety position (although he will go in the first round and be a consistent starter) - but he is one of the best players to do what he does in a long, long time.
His attitude and toughness is infused into his style of play, and he loves to hit people. He'll bring that attitude to practice everyday, and will be the anchor of Brown's aggressive defense - the kind of tool that Corwin can wield to wreak havoc on opposing offenses.
PROSPECTS:
Harrison Smith Freshman
Rivals - 4 star, Scout - 4 star
Sergio Brown Sophomore
Rivals - 3 star, Scout - 4 star
Leonard Gordon Sophomore
Rivals - 3 star, Scout - 4 star
Jashaad Gaines Sophomore
Rivals - 3 star, Scout - 3 star
David Bruton Junior
Rivals - 3 star, Scout - 3 star
Ray Herring Junior
Rivals - 3 star, Scout - 3 star
Kyle McCarthy Junior
Rivals - 3 star, Scout - 2 star
I grouped these kids together for two reasons. First, it shows that we are sick deep in the defensive secondary. Second, it shows how the talent level at Notre Dame is steadily increasing. With each successive class, the highly touted recruits take notice of Notre Dame more and more. Recruiting is a long-term process where each class builds upon the one before it, and recruits want to go where they can play and win. Thus, a school full of three star recruits is attractive to 3/4 stars, which makes the school more attractive to 4 stars, and on up. I fully expect to land the top overall corner/safety in the next two years, as the momentum in recruiting builds.
As far as who will start opposite Tommy Z, though, there is an interesting conundrum. Harrison Smith is the highest rated safety we've landed since Tommy Z, and could push for playing time right away, but lacks experience. As a matter of fact, as you move up in experience, you move down in talent. So this coaching staff has to choose between an experienced but not as athletic player (Bruton, Herring) or a young athlete without experience (Smith, Brown, Gordon). With the experience at corner and at the strong safety, my money is on the athletes - I like Smith and Brown to duke it out for the starting spot. However, for safeties physical tools aren't as important as work ethic and lack of a self-preservation instinct. (whereas corners require more athleticism over experience) So, this position is hard to predict.
Not wanting to be accused of being too wishy-washy I pick: Sergio Brown

My Prediction:
With a two-time All-American returning, I think that now is the time to get some playing time for a young safety to learn from Zibby's experience. Harrison Smith is highly touted and athletic, but starting may be too much to ask from a true freshman. I think Sergio Brown and Leonard Gordon will be the favorites to start the beginning of the season. However, I expect that under Corwin Brown's attacking scheme, we'll substitute freely to keep our guys fresh throughout the game. Much like the quarterback position, if one of the 3-star junior safeties starts, it doesn't bode well for our season (barring some ridiculous improvement during practice).

What I really like about our defensive secondary positions is the fact that I don't have space to talk up all of the depth we have on this team. Not long ago, guys like Leo Ferrine would be our hope for the future, but now they are duking it out for PT on special teams and the scout team - or changing positions. Any one of these depth guys, however, could play themselves into the mix above. Much of our depth is three star talent, and therefore capable of developing into starter material. What this means for the team is that injuries will hurt, but the dropoff will not be significant. In fact, if in a worst case scenario we lost our four top starters, we'd be as talented as our starters were just two years ago. That's what I call progress.

Wednesday, March 07, 2007

Corwin effect

Another commitment to the Irish early in the recruiting cycle has strengthened our hold on the Chicago area, and adds to the foundation of kids I talked about in my previous post.

Sean Cwynar, a defensive tackle out of Marian Central High School in Woodstock, IL (just north of Chicago), committed to the Irish.

This pickup is big for two reasons. (1) It shows that the Irish are serious about reestablishing themselves as the school of choice for Chicago kids (2) defensive tackle was a HUGE need for the Irish, and they missed on some big time recruits here last year.

This class already has some big bodies to fill in the trenches, and a tall wide receiver to keep up the talent level at offensive skill positions.

What I'd like to see next from Weis & Company is a big time linebacker commitment. Such a commitment could really provide some momentum for this class, and allow this class to become a defensive-oriented top 10 class, which would be a great balance with the past two years' offensive classes.

The rest of the positional battles are coming soon - I had midterms this week, and I'll devote some time to finishing them over Spring Break next week.

Monday, March 05, 2007

Lockdown

Coach Weis knows that Notre Dame has a national recruiting base, and that any given Irish player is as likely to be from Texas and California as Florida, Pennsylvania and New Jersey.

However, Coach Weis understands that he must lock down his "natural" recruiting area - Indiana and Chicago.

Purdue and Indiana can't compete with the Irish in football recruiting, and Illinois (when they aren't engaging in questionable recruiting practices) and Northwestern can't either. But Michigan just to the north and Ohio State just to the east are certainly able to challenge the Irish for local recruits.

Therefore, Coach Weis understands that he needs to build relationships with schools in the local recruiting area, and get to the Division I prospects early in the recruiting process.

Although the recruiting season is barely getting started, Coach Weis has already sent a message to other Division I schools: KEEP OUT.

He locked down commitments from two Indiana boys this week. Penn High School center Braxton Cave, a Mishawaka resident who grew up in the shadow of the Dome, received an offer from Coach Weis and immediately committed to the Irish. He's listed at 6'4" 295 lbs. He had interest from Michigan, Florida, Iowa, Purdue, and Indiana, but Coach Weis locked him down before any of the other big schools got around to seriously pursuing him.

The other commit is John Goodman, a 6'5" 190 lbs. wide receiver from Fort Wayne. One of my good friends was from Bishop Dwenger, and he was influential in getting this kid onto Notre Dame's radar. I talked with him for a while, and he told me about his conversations with Ron Powlus, the transition from Minter to Brown (Brown was reportedly far more impressed with Goodman than Minter was), and the impact of camps, visits, and other things on the recruitment of a kid like this. According to my buddy, Goodman was set to commit to Michigan, but held off in hopes of getting an offer from Coach Weis. This kid bleeds blue and gold, and even his reported visit to Florida is nothing to worry about.

While Indiana isn't a strong recruiting base to build a program on, getting the 2 or 3 top Indiana recruits every year gives Notre Dame a huge advantage for those times few and far between when a five-star prospect (ala James Aldridge) comes out of Indiana.

Chicago has traditionally produced a lot more talent than Indiana, and the addition of former Chicago Public League player Corwin Brown will help rebuild that pipeline - and I'm sure Coach Weis has made it a priority to review (and probably attend) CPL games, looking for that diamond in the rough and plucking them out before other schools even notice.

The foundation for every recruiting class should be a combination of kids from Indiana and Chicago - if the Irish can get 5 kids from that area, especially in areas of need, it permits the Irish to be more aggressive in recruiting kids out of other schools' backyards.